Category Archives: Stocks

As the interest rate start rising and the feds are drying up liquidity, I am thinking of those who have high debt ratio, large cap and little cash to defend the stock. In particular I am thinking in the travel, leisure sector.

In the world of economic shenanigans, we now have "tech" companies that are about to exceed 1 Trillion dollar in cap value. But does that even make sense?  Is the price justified? 

I figured with the economy conditions are getting worse and worse despite all the fake media lies, things started to turn south. I figure the luxury would be what goes first. I picked CCL to short and before I can make my move, it actually went down almost 10%, the very next day.

The Auto mobile market is taking bigger hit than probably most of other markets. In the sense that they are impact with the tariffs and interest rate. Cares are probably the biggest purchase on can make after his or her house. But with the economic getting worse, unlike what the media wants you to believe,… Read More »

If one believe that the stocks of home builders is a canary in the cage, then based on this article, https://seekingalpha.com/article/4167864-homebuilder-stocks-overvalued-leveraged-going-lower?page=2#, we are about to make the run down. 

If you ever traded stocks and paid attention to the financial news, you must have heard of the VIX. It is a "doohickey" that is supposed to measure volatility of the market, i.e. risk.

The DOW hit its all time high late January of 2018 at 26.5600 or so. If we believe that the market has been on the run due mostly to cheap government money.  And if we believe that each 1% of interest rate erode 10% of consumer house buying power, or long term borrowing, then the market… Read More »

LIBOR – OIS spread can be used as and indicator for the dollar trade. 

This guy, Torsten Slok, a Deutsche Bank economist, list 30 sources of risk to the markets in 2018.  What I find interesting is that he did not include the Middle-East in any sort of shape.  

About the only thing that is left to buy is commodities. Even these, the price of which is now primarily determined by the overhead imposed on them. From taking them "out" to getting them to the consumer, tax after tax and overhead over overhead.